AHLDashboard
Saturday, October 11

Providence Bruins at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Providence Bruins
3:2
Final / OT
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

PROBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
54%46%
xG
2.22.5
High danger
42
Chances
711
Shots
2325

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 43% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal25
7Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances2
2.20Expected goals2.51

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st91336220.91.5
2nd61125100.61.0
3rd7120100.60.1
OT1000000.10.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
2.51
GSAx
+0.51
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
2.20
GSAx
-0.80

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:23Cam Berg (0–1)medium · 27 ft · beat Simon Zajicek
  • 1st 7:11Cole McWard (0–2)grade A · rebound · 20 ft · beat Simon Zajicek
  • 1st 8:23Penalty
  • 1st 11:11Penalty
  • 1st 12:25Georgii Merkulov (1–2)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 1:43Penalty
  • 2nd 6:22Frederic Brunet (2–2)low · 19 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 7:30Penalty
  • 2nd 7:30Penalty
  • 2nd 11:34Penalty
  • 3rd 1:56Penalty
  • 3rd 5:05Penalty
  • OT 1:04Matěj Blümel (3–2)low · 42 ft · beat Marcus Högberg