AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 11

Grand Rapids Griffins at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Grand Rapids Griffins
3:2
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

GRTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
3.23.3
High danger
85
Chances
1717
Shots
2529

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal29
17Scoring chances17
8High-danger chances5
3.21Expected goals3.33

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–83–81–20.7–1.2
2nd9–138–65–21.3–1.4
3rd9–86–32–11.2–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−3−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX34:08 of the 3rd15:5213:40+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Michal Postava
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
3.33
GSAx
+1.33
Ben Kraws
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
3.21
GSAx
+0.21

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:07Penalty
  • 1st 9:07Penalty
  • 1st 14:46Penalty
  • 2nd 2:53Penalty
  • 2nd 6:15Penalty
  • 2nd 7:06Dominik Shine (1–0)5v4 · high · slap · 26 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 2nd 8:04Penalty
  • 2nd 8:12Penalty
  • 2nd 9:10Penalty
  • 2nd 9:10Penalty
  • 2nd 12:07Penalty
  • 2nd 12:07Penalty
  • 2nd 12:16John Leonard (2–0)high · 18 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 2nd 14:16Penalty
  • 2nd 18:51Penalty
  • 3rd 4:08Austin Watson (3–0)high · tip · 8 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 3rd 8:07Penalty
  • 3rd 11:23Harrison Scott (3–1)high · tip · 8 ft · beat Michal Postava
  • 3rd 15:30Cross Hanas (3–2)low · snap · 11 ft · beat Michal Postava
  • 3rd 17:08Penalty
  • 3rd 18:54Penalty