AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, October 12

Laval Rocket at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Laval Rocket
5:2
Final
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

LAVMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
36%64%
xG
2.12.8
High danger
56
Chances
710
Shots
2327

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal27
7Scoring chances10
5High-danger chances6
2.09Expected goals2.79

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–132–62–30.8–1.5
2nd11–63–21–10.7–0.4
3rd8–82–22–20.5–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MB−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MB30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.79
GSAx
+0.79
Domenic DiVincentiis
Shots faced
23
Saves
18
Allowed
5
xGA
2.09
GSAx
-2.91

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:45Penalty
  • 1st 4:33Laurent Dauphin (1–0)4v5 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 1st 12:05Penalty
  • 1st 14:14Penalty
  • 1st 19:22Penalty
  • 2nd 0:56Penalty
  • 2nd 1:51Joshua Roy (2–0)5v4 · high · 18 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 2nd 5:19Penalty
  • 2nd 14:46Penalty
  • 2nd 19:41Sean Farrell (3–0)medium · 19 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 5:59Penalty
  • 3rd 7:30Owen Beck (4–0)4v5 · low · 63 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 9:00David Gustafsson (4–1)low · 32 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 10:04Penalty
  • 3rd 13:25Penalty
  • 3rd 15:17David Gustafsson (4–2)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 19:24Joshua Roy (5–2)empty net · low · 34 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis