Abbotsford Canucks at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Abbotsford Canucks

0:3

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

ABBLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

42%58%

xG: 2.42.4
High danger: 55
Chances: 88
Shots: 1926

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal26

8Scoring chances8

5High-danger chances5

2.39Expected goals2.41

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	4–15	1–4	0–2	0.3–1.2
2nd	11–7	6–2	4–1	1.8–0.7
3rd	4–4	1–2	1–2	0.3–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
ABB	3	4:14 of the 3rd	15:46	15:46	+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ty Young

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 23
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.41
GSAx: -0.59

Jacob Fowler

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 19
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.39
GSAx: +2.39

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:41Penalty
1st 16:48Penalty
1st 18:20Jared Davidson (0–1)5v4 · medium · snap · 36 ft · beat Ty Young
1st 19:53Penalty
2nd 4:43Penalty
2nd 6:23Penalty
2nd 12:55Penalty
2nd 12:55Penalty
2nd 12:55Penalty
2nd 16:49Penalty
2nd 16:49Penalty
2nd 16:49Penalty
2nd 18:15Penalty
2nd 18:15Penalty
3rd 1:49Filip Mešár (0–2)high · slap · 27 ft · beat Ty Young
3rd 4:14Xavier Simoneau (0–3)grade A · wrist · 4 ft · beat Ty Young