AHLDashboard
Friday, October 17

Texas Stars at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Texas Stars
1:2
Final / OT
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

TEXRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
68%32%
xG
2.61.8
High danger
32
Chances
97
Shots
3025

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 43% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal25
9Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances2
2.56Expected goals1.83

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st31116020.21.1
2nd15340301.40.1
3rd11941000.90.5
OT1200000.10.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
29
Allowed
1
xGA
2.56
GSAx
+1.56
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
1.83
GSAx
-0.17

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:15Oliver Moore (0–1)high · 13 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 3:08Penalty
  • 1st 3:08Penalty
  • 1st 3:08Penalty
  • 1st 6:05Penalty
  • 1st 10:59Penalty
  • 1st 12:14Penalty
  • 2nd 0:17Penalty
  • 2nd 0:17Penalty
  • 2nd 0:17Penalty
  • 2nd 0:17Penalty
  • 2nd 2:16Penalty
  • 3rd 7:12Antonio Stranges (1–1)medium · 33 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 18:13Penalty
  • OT 2:18Oliver Moore (1–2)low · 46 ft · beat Rémi Poirier