AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 18

Abbotsford Canucks at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Abbotsford Canucks
2:5
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

ABBLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
16%84%
xG
1.84.0
High danger
27
Chances
716
Shots
2035

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal35
7Scoring chances16
2High-danger chances7
1.85Expected goals3.99

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–153–62–20.9–1.6
2nd5–111–60–20.3–1.4
3rd9–93–40–30.7–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nikita Tolopilo
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
3.99
GSAx
-1.01
Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
20
Saves
18
Allowed
2
xGA
1.85
GSAx
-0.15

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:55Penalty
  • 1st 0:55Penalty
  • 1st 2:51Laurent Dauphin (0–1)grade A · snap · rebound · 23 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 1st 3:24Penalty
  • 1st 5:38Penalty
  • 1st 11:54Jared Davidson (0–2)low · slap · 31 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 1st 12:17Penalty
  • 1st 15:30Penalty
  • 1st 15:30Penalty
  • 2nd 1:15Penalty
  • 2nd 1:32Vitali Kravtsov (1–2)5v4 · medium · slap · 40 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 1:55Penalty
  • 2nd 1:55Penalty
  • 2nd 1:55Penalty
  • 2nd 3:06Tom Willander (2–2)5v4 · low · wrist · 60 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 9:51Penalty
  • 2nd 10:52Penalty
  • 2nd 17:18Penalty
  • 3rd 5:33Penalty
  • 3rd 7:51Lucas Condotta (2–3)low · snap · 23 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 9:18Penalty
  • 3rd 16:28Penalty
  • 3rd 16:28Penalty
  • 3rd 17:49Florian Xhekaj (2–4)empty net · low · wrist · 156 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 18:42Alex Belzile (2–5)empty net · low · wrist · 184 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo