AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 18

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
6:3
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

WBSBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
62%38%
xG
2.82.5
High danger
32
Chances
1110
Shots
2932

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal32
11Scoring chances10
3High-danger chances2
2.82Expected goals2.45

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–113–40–00.9–0.9
2nd9–105–31–00.9–0.7
3rd9–113–32–21.0–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
2.45
GSAx
-0.55
Parker Gahagen
Shots faced
29
Saves
23
Allowed
6
xGA
2.82
GSAx
-3.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:44Penalty
  • 1st 3:37Alex Jefferies (0–1)4v5 · medium · 25 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 7:00Penalty
  • 1st 7:00Penalty
  • 1st 7:00Penalty
  • 1st 7:00Penalty
  • 1st 7:00Penalty
  • 1st 7:18Adam Beckman (0–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 9:46Hunter Drew (0–3)medium · 13 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 10:53Penalty
  • 1st 10:53Penalty
  • 1st 12:05Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 1:32Penalty
  • 2nd 3:17Penalty
  • 2nd 3:51Penalty
  • 2nd 11:35Penalty
  • 2nd 15:08Ryan Graves (1–3)low · 40 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 1:38Rafaël Harvey-Pinard (2–3)medium · 27 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 4:16Sam Poulin (3–3)high · 12 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 7:15Ville Koivunen (4–3)low · 34 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 9:43Danton Heinen (5–3)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 11:30Penalty
  • 3rd 12:48Atley Calvert (6–3)4v5 · low · 42 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 16:42Penalty
  • 3rd 16:42Penalty