AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 18

Henderson Silver Knights at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Henderson Silver Knights
4:3
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

HSKSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
51%49%
xG
2.52.7
High danger
53
Chances
137
Shots
2231

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal31
13Scoring chances7
5High-danger chances3
2.53Expected goals2.71

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–94–11–10.6–0.6
2nd10–126–43–21.3–1.4
3rd7–103–21–00.7–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jesper Vikman
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
2.71
GSAx
-0.29
Ville Husso
Shots faced
22
Saves
18
Allowed
4
xGA
2.53
GSAx
-1.47

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:20Penalty
  • 1st 8:41Tanner Laczynski (1–0)high · 10 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 1st 9:31Penalty
  • 1st 10:32Penalty
  • 1st 15:33Jonas Røndbjerg (2–0)medium · 15 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 2nd 2:35Penalty
  • 2nd 2:45Tristan Luneau (2–1)5v4 · low · 52 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 9:42Judd Caulfield (2–2)medium · 13 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 11:26Penalty
  • 2nd 13:07Penalty
  • 2nd 14:06Braeden Bowman (3–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 24 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 2nd 19:21Ryan Carpenter (3–3)low · 30 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 1:35Penalty
  • 3rd 6:51Dylan Coghlan (4–3)low · 49 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 12:00Penalty
  • 3rd 18:27Penalty