AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, October 19

Utica Comets at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Utica Comets
2:3
Final
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

UTCTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
35%65%
xG
2.53.2
High danger
36
Chances
1114
Shots
2635

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal35
11Scoring chances14
3High-danger chances6
2.51Expected goals3.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–108–62–21.5–1.1
2nd5–111–40–20.5–1.0
3rd6–142–41–20.5–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jeremy Brodeur
Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
3.23
GSAx
+0.23
Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.51
GSAx
+0.51

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:05Nathan Légaré (1–0)medium · 13 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 3:26Angus Crookshank (2–0)medium · 21 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 4:16Penalty
  • 1st 6:25Travis Boyd (2–1)5v4 · low · 30 ft · beat Jeremy Brodeur
  • 1st 12:35Penalty
  • 1st 13:30Penalty
  • 1st 13:30Penalty
  • 1st 13:30Penalty
  • 1st 13:30Penalty
  • 1st 16:29Penalty
  • 2nd 8:03Penalty
  • 2nd 10:24Penalty
  • 2nd 14:01Penalty
  • 3rd 5:14Penalty
  • 3rd 8:40Benoit-Olivier Groulx (2–2)high · 12 ft · beat Jeremy Brodeur
  • 3rd 11:27Penalty
  • 3rd 14:30Vinni Lettieri (2–3)5v4 · low · 51 ft · beat Jeremy Brodeur
  • 3rd 17:23Penalty