AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, October 19

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Bakersfield Condors

Dignity Health Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
4:5
Final / OT
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

CVBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
3.33.8
High danger
48
Chances
1111
Shots
3330

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal30
11Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances8
3.33Expected goals3.77

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–113–32–21.2–1.0
2nd7–124–41–30.8–1.2
3rd14–54–21–11.3–0.5
OT1–20–20–20.1–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Matt Tomkins
Shots faced
33
Saves
29
Allowed
4
xGA
3.33
GSAx
-0.67
Victor Östman
Shots faced
30
Saves
25
Allowed
5
xGA
3.77
GSAx
-1.23

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:02Penalty
  • 1st 7:39Penalty
  • 1st 12:04Carson Rehkopf (1–0)grade A · wrist · rebound · 13 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 1st 12:18Luke Prokop (1–1)medium · wrist · 32 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 1st 13:16Penalty
  • 1st 13:16Penalty
  • 1st 16:55Penalty
  • 1st 17:31Ben Meyers (2–1)5v4 · high · tip · 11 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 1st 18:29Penalty
  • 1st 19:54Ben Meyers (3–1)4v5 · low · wrist · 30 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 2:29Penalty
  • 2nd 3:43Penalty
  • 2nd 3:55Max Jones (3–2)5v4 · high · 35 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 12:15Penalty
  • 2nd 13:45James Hamblin (3–3)4v5 · high · wrist · 21 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 17:28Penalty
  • 2nd 17:28Penalty
  • 3rd 4:19Jacob Melanson (4–3)medium · tip · 17 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 7:00Penalty
  • 3rd 9:34Penalty
  • 3rd 13:20Rem Pitlick (4–4)low · tip · 9 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • OT 0:30James Hamblin (4–5)grade A · wrist · rebound · 12 ft · beat Victor Östman