AHLDashboard
Sunday, October 19

Calgary Wranglers at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

Calgary Wranglers
4:3
Final / OT
Tucson Roadrunners

The sheet

CGYTUCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
79%21%
xG
3.62.8
High danger
91
Chances
1411
Shots
3028

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TUC above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 67% TUC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal28
14Scoring chances11
9High-danger chances1
3.63Expected goals2.79

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13662411.70.6
2nd61334200.71.3
3rd9945301.00.9
OT2010000.20.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
26
Allowed
4
xGA
3.63
GSAx
-0.37
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
2.79
GSAx
-0.21

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:08Penalty
  • 1st 7:38Penalty
  • 1st 7:38Penalty
  • 1st 14:41Penalty
  • 1st 16:43Penalty
  • 2nd 3:20Penalty
  • 2nd 5:26Miko Matikka (0–1)low · 35 ft · beat Owen Say
  • 2nd 5:38Matvei Gridin (1–1)medium · 27 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 12:19Jérémie Poirier (2–1)low · 26 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 12:42Andrew Basha (3–1)high · 18 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 13:20Penalty
  • 3rd 1:16Penalty
  • 3rd 1:35Penalty
  • 3rd 1:35Penalty
  • 3rd 8:27Kevin Rooney (3–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Owen Say
  • 3rd 12:20Penalty
  • 3rd 12:45Penalty
  • 3rd 16:04Austin Poganski (3–3)medium · 20 ft · beat Owen Say
  • OT 1:03Nick Cicek (4–3)low · 34 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber