AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, October 22

Laval Rocket at Belleville Senators

CAA Arena · Belleville, ON

Laval Rocket
2:6
Final
Belleville Senators

The sheet

LAVBELSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
55%45%
xG
2.32.2
High danger
33
Chances
87
Shots
2824

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BEL above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 40% BEL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal24
8Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances3
2.34Expected goals2.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–101–20–00.2–0.7
2nd10–85–42–21.1–1.0
3rd13–62–11–11.0–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV31:49 of the 3rd18:1118:11+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Leevi Meriläinen
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.34
GSAx
+0.34
Jacob Fowler
Shots faced
24
Saves
18
Allowed
6
xGA
2.23
GSAx
-3.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 14:22Penalty
  • 1st 16:05Xavier Bourgault (0–1)4v5 · medium · 29 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 1:15Penalty
  • 2nd 1:29Laurent Dauphin (1–1)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 9:40Penalty
  • 2nd 13:14Xavier Bourgault (1–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 13:48Hayden Hodgson (1–3)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 17:48Adam Engström (2–3)medium · 30 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 18:24Penalty
  • 2nd 19:37Wyatt Bongiovanni (2–4)5v4 · low · 36 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 3rd 1:49Garrett Pilon (2–5)high · 12 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 3rd 4:59Penalty
  • 3rd 9:24Cameron Crotty (2–6)low · rebound · 53 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 3rd 12:13Penalty