Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

1:4

Final

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

LVWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

25%75%

xG: 2.43.8
High danger: 34
Chances: 713
Shots: 2731

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

WBS above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal31

7Scoring chances13

3High-danger chances4

2.39Expected goals3.83

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–15	1–6	0–2	0.5–1.6
2nd	9–9	5–4	3–1	1.2–1.5
3rd	12–7	1–3	0–1	0.8–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LV	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Aleksei Kolosov

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 27
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.83
GSAx: -0.17

Sergei Murashov

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 26
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.39
GSAx: +1.39

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:52Penalty
1st 4:11Danton Heinen (0–1)5v4 · grade A · tip · rebound · 15 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
1st 13:20Avery Hayes (0–2)grade A · tip · rebound · 17 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
1st 19:54Penalty
2nd 0:56Alexis Gendron (1–2)5v4 · grade A · tip · rebound · 8 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
2nd 6:37Penalty
2nd 9:01Penalty
2nd 10:42Atley Calvert (1–3)5v4 · medium · tip · 9 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
2nd 15:43Ville Koivunen (1–4)grade A · snap · 44 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
3rd 1:30Penalty