AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, October 22

Syracuse Crunch at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Syracuse Crunch
2:4
Final
Rochester Americans

The sheet

SYRROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
2.72.9
High danger
45
Chances
119
Shots
2328

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal28
11Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances5
2.66Expected goals2.90

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–143–32–21.1–1.5
2nd9–104–51–20.8–1.1
3rd6–44–11–10.8–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
28
Saves
24
Allowed
4
xGA
2.90
GSAx
-1.10
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Shots faced
23
Saves
21
Allowed
2
xGA
2.66
GSAx
+0.66

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:01Josh Dunne (0–1)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 1st 7:43Penalty
  • 1st 8:23Viktor Neuchev (0–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 24 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 1st 9:48Penalty
  • 1st 17:21Penalty
  • 1st 19:07Conor Geekie (1–2)5v4 · low · 44 ft · beat Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  • 1st 19:28Penalty
  • 2nd 5:45Penalty
  • 2nd 7:19Trevor Kuntar (1–3)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 9:58Nick Abruzzese (2–3)medium · 10 ft · beat Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  • 2nd 13:40Penalty
  • 2nd 13:40Penalty
  • 2nd 15:12Penalty
  • 2nd 15:12Penalty
  • 2nd 15:12Penalty
  • 2nd 15:12Penalty
  • 2nd 15:12Penalty
  • 2nd 15:36Penalty
  • 2nd 17:27Penalty
  • 2nd 18:29Jagger Joshua (2–4)4v5 · low · 38 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 19:22Penalty
  • 3rd 6:01Penalty
  • 3rd 10:51Penalty
  • 3rd 17:08Penalty
  • 3rd 18:23Penalty