AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, October 22

Coachella Valley Firebirds at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
6:3
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

CVSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
77%23%
xG
3.72.6
High danger
84
Chances
1310
Shots
3427

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal27
13Scoring chances10
8High-danger chances4
3.69Expected goals2.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–114–43–21.0–1.1
2nd11–94–42–21.1–1.1
3rd15–75–23–01.6–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
34
Saves
28
Allowed
6
xGA
3.69
GSAx
-2.31
Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.60
GSAx
-0.40

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:45Penalty
  • 1st 9:57Penalty
  • 1st 10:29Oscar Fisker Mølgaard (1–0)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 18:23Penalty
  • 1st 19:24Penalty
  • 2nd 4:33Anthony Vincent (1–1)low · 24 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 6:16Penalty
  • 2nd 8:56Lucas Carlsson (1–2)low · 26 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 9:01Penalty
  • 2nd 10:51Kasper Halttunen (1–3)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 11:42Logan Morrison (2–3)low · 38 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 14:24Mitchell Stephens (3–3)low · 39 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 15:24Jagger Firkus (4–3)medium · 11 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 17:20Penalty
  • 2nd 18:10Penalty
  • 3rd 2:47Penalty
  • 3rd 3:38Penalty
  • 3rd 10:28Kaden Hammell (5–3)low · 17 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 3rd 12:47Penalty
  • 3rd 15:21Penalty
  • 3rd 19:16Logan Morrison (6–3)empty net · low · 103 ft · beat Jakub Skarek