Bridgeport Islanders at Hartford Wolf Pack

PeoplesBank Arena · Hartford, CT

Bridgeport Islanders

3:0

Final

Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

BRIHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

62%38%

xG: 4.13.0
High danger: 87
Chances: 1811
Shots: 3333

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

HFD above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal33

18Scoring chances11

8High-danger chances7

4.06Expected goals2.97

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	18–8	11–0	6–0	2.6–0.2
2nd	7–13	3–5	0–3	0.6–1.3
3rd	8–12	4–6	2–4	0.9–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
HFD	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Marcus Högberg

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 33
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.97
GSAx: +2.97

Talyn Boyko

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 25
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.96
GSAx: +1.96

Dylan Garand

Shots faced: 7
Saves: 5
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.11
GSAx: -0.89

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:38Joey Larson (1–0)low · 31 ft · beat Dylan Garand
1st 8:01Matthew Highmore (2–0)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Dylan Garand
1st 10:07Gleb Veremyev (3–0)high · 9 ft · beat Talyn Boyko
1st 16:30Penalty
1st 19:37Penalty
2nd 2:40Penalty
2nd 4:46Penalty
2nd 10:47Penalty
2nd 14:01Penalty
3rd 6:40Penalty
3rd 10:19Penalty
3rd 10:19Penalty
3rd 10:19Penalty
3rd 10:19Penalty
3rd 10:19Penalty
3rd 12:34Penalty
3rd 12:34Penalty
3rd 12:34Penalty
3rd 12:34Penalty
3rd 12:34Penalty