Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

4:0

Final

Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

WBSCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

72%28%

xG: 3.12.4
High danger: 93
Chances: 1311
Shots: 2225

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLT above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 60% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal25

13Scoring chances11

9High-danger chances3

3.06Expected goals2.42

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–8	3–3	1–2	0.7–0.9
2nd	10–7	6–3	4–0	1.5–0.6
3rd	5–10	4–5	4–1	0.9–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLT	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 25
Allowed: 0
xGA: 2.42
GSAx: +2.42

Cooper Black

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 18
Allowed: 4
xGA: 3.05
GSAx: -0.95

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:26Alex Alexeyev (1–0)low · 33 ft · beat Cooper Black
1st 8:02Penalty
1st 11:25Penalty
1st 14:20Penalty
1st 16:27Ville Koivunen (2–0)high · 15 ft · beat Cooper Black
2nd 1:10Penalty
2nd 9:54Penalty
2nd 11:35Penalty
2nd 12:49Penalty
2nd 14:49Danton Heinen (3–0)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Cooper Black
2nd 19:55Penalty
3rd 7:02Joona Koppanen (4–0)high · 174 ft · beat Cooper Black
3rd 14:17Penalty
3rd 19:16Penalty