Laval Rocket at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Laval Rocket

0:4

Final

Rochester Americans

The sheet

LAVROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

6%94%

xG: 1.34.3
High danger: 112
Chances: 317
Shots: 1938

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

ROC above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 44% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal38

3Scoring chances17

1High-danger chances12

1.27Expected goals4.33

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–12	0–7	0–5	0.3–1.6
2nd	6–14	2–6	1–4	0.6–1.5
3rd	6–12	1–4	0–3	0.3–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LAV	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Kaapo Kähkönen

Shots faced: 38
Saves: 34
Allowed: 4
xGA: 4.32
GSAx: +0.32

Devon Levi

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 19
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.27
GSAx: +1.27

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:04Penalty
1st 8:48Penalty
1st 8:48Penalty
1st 13:17Penalty
1st 15:29Penalty
1st 15:29Penalty
1st 18:23Penalty
2nd 4:17Konsta Helenius (0–1)high · 18 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
2nd 8:12Jagger Joshua (0–2)high · 6 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
2nd 9:00Penalty
2nd 11:08Penalty
2nd 12:06Penalty
2nd 13:15Konsta Helenius (0–3)5v4 · low · 41 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
2nd 17:41Penalty
3rd 6:54Penalty
3rd 8:21Penalty
3rd 11:05Penalty
3rd 11:05Penalty
3rd 11:05Penalty
3rd 11:05Penalty
3rd 11:05Penalty
3rd 11:05Penalty
3rd 11:05Penalty
3rd 16:33Penalty
3rd 17:47Penalty
3rd 17:47Penalty
3rd 18:53Isak Rosén (0–4)5v4 · high · 28 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen