AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, October 24

Milwaukee Admirals at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Milwaukee Admirals
6:2
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

MILSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
54%46%
xG
2.73.2
High danger
64
Chances
119
Shots
2439

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 63% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal39
11Scoring chances9
6High-danger chances4
2.74Expected goals3.23

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–153–51–30.7–1.6
2nd11–107–44–11.7–0.9
3rd4–141–01–00.3–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Matthew Murray
Shots faced
39
Saves
37
Allowed
2
xGA
3.23
GSAx
+1.23
Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
24
Saves
18
Allowed
6
xGA
2.74
GSAx
-3.26

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:43Penalty
  • 1st 2:43Penalty
  • 1st 4:37Penalty
  • 1st 7:27Penalty
  • 1st 7:27Penalty
  • 1st 9:34Penalty
  • 1st 11:33Penalty
  • 1st 19:56David Edstrom (1–0)medium · 8 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 0:46Penalty
  • 2nd 1:38Penalty
  • 2nd 2:02Zach L’Heureux (2–0)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 3:24Daniel Carr (3–0)5v4 · medium · 13 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 4:18Penalty
  • 2nd 5:52Oasiz Wiesblatt (4–0)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 7:52Mattias Havelid (4–1)medium · 20 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 11:01Penalty
  • 2nd 11:11Penalty
  • 2nd 12:44Penalty
  • 2nd 14:10Ryan Ufko (5–1)5v4 · low · 48 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 14:20Penalty
  • 2nd 14:20Penalty
  • 2nd 14:20Penalty
  • 2nd 14:20Penalty
  • 2nd 14:20Penalty
  • 2nd 14:20Penalty
  • 2nd 16:56Penalty
  • 2nd 18:02Penalty
  • 2nd 18:02Kasper Halttunen (5–2)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 7:53Penalty
  • 3rd 17:44Ryder Rolston (6–2)empty net · high · 24 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 18:26Penalty
  • 3rd 18:26Penalty
  • 3rd 18:26Penalty
  • 3rd 18:26Penalty
  • 3rd 18:26Penalty