AHLDashboard
Saturday, October 25

Manitoba Moose at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Manitoba Moose
3:4
Final / OT
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

MBCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
3.12.5
High danger
53
Chances
147
Shots
3228

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineMB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal28
14Scoring chances7
5High-danger chances3
3.06Expected goals2.50

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st141383321.51.3
2nd11863211.10.8
3rd7501000.50.3
OT0200000.00.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
3.06
GSAx
+0.06
Shots faced
28
Saves
24
Allowed
4
xGA
2.50
GSAx
-1.50

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:51Penalty
  • 1st 2:51Penalty
  • 1st 3:32Phillip Di Giuseppe (1–0)high · rebound · 11 ft · beat Nikita Quapp
  • 1st 7:51Nikita Pavlychev (1–1)medium · 28 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 1st 15:59Penalty
  • 2nd 2:24Penalty
  • 2nd 3:26Penalty
  • 2nd 5:18Domenick Fensore (1–2)5v4 · low · 57 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 2nd 8:43Walker Duehr (2–2)medium · 22 ft · beat Nikita Quapp
  • 2nd 10:34Walker Duehr (3–2)high · 13 ft · beat Nikita Quapp
  • 3rd 8:57Dominik Badinka (3–3)medium · 13 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 3rd 11:10Penalty
  • OT 0:34Domenick Fensore (3–4)low · 36 ft · beat Thomas Milic