AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 25

San Diego Gulls at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

San Diego Gulls
2:5
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

SDHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
35%65%
xG
3.34.3
High danger
410
Chances
1119
Shots
3935

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal35
11Scoring chances19
4High-danger chances10
3.33Expected goals4.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–105–32–01.3–0.8
2nd10–133–82–40.9–1.8
3rd15–123–80–61.2–1.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD30:27 of the 3rd19:3318:15+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cameron Whitehead
Shots faced
39
Saves
37
Allowed
2
xGA
3.33
GSAx
+1.33
Ville Husso
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
4.30
GSAx
-0.70

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:32Penalty
  • 1st 6:55Penalty
  • 1st 7:57Yegor Sidorov (1–0)5v4 · low · wrist · 47 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 1st 16:23Jonas Røndbjerg (1–1)low · backhand · 17 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 1st 17:05Ben Hemmerling (1–2)low · wrist · 10 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 2nd 14:26Penalty
  • 2nd 14:26Penalty
  • 2nd 18:09Penalty
  • 2nd 18:59Penalty
  • 2nd 19:48Raphael Lavoie (1–3)5v4 · high · slap · 40 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 0:27Lukas Cormier (1–4)5v4 · medium · backhand · 10 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 10:51Judd Caulfield (2–4)medium · tip · 8 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 3rd 13:43Matyas Sapovaliv (2–5)high · wrist · 9 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 15:28Penalty
  • 3rd 16:35Penalty
  • 3rd 16:55Penalty