AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, October 26

Belleville Senators at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Belleville Senators
5:4
Final / SO
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

BELTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
2.72.9
High danger
26
Chances
1211
Shots
2829

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 63% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal29
12Scoring chances11
2High-danger chances6
2.68Expected goals2.95

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–93–20–00.6–0.5
2nd15–127–42–21.6–1.3
3rd4–62–40–40.3–0.9
OT2–20–10–00.1–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Dennis Hildeby
Shots faced
28
Saves
24
Allowed
4
xGA
2.68
GSAx
-1.32
Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.77
GSAx
+0.77
Mads Søgaard
Shots faced
3
Saves
1
Allowed
2
xGA
0.17
GSAx
-1.83

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:44William Villeneuve (0–1)low · 60 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 1st 3:15Benoit-Olivier Groulx (0–2)medium · 26 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
  • 1st 3:45Penalty
  • 1st 3:45Penalty
  • 1st 3:45Penalty
  • 1st 9:32Penalty
  • 1st 12:05Penalty
  • 1st 15:15Penalty
  • 2nd 1:00Arthur Kaliyev (1–2)medium · 27 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 2nd 2:50Penalty
  • 2nd 7:45Tyler Boucher (2–2)grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 2nd 10:00Stephen Halliday (3–2)medium · 24 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 2nd 12:00Cédric Paré (3–3)high · rebound · 36 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 14:47Penalty
  • 2nd 14:47Penalty
  • 3rd 1:52Penalty
  • 3rd 2:37Jacob Quillan (3–4)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 6:26Penalty
  • 3rd 10:52Penalty
  • 3rd 14:40Penalty
  • 3rd 15:24Wyatt Bongiovanni (4–4)5v4 · medium · 44 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby