Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Lehigh Valley Phantoms

0:3

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

LVLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

12%88%

xG: 1.43.1
High danger: 15
Chances: 511
Shots: 1733

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

17Shots on goal33

5Scoring chances11

1High-danger chances5

1.36Expected goals3.05

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	5–12	0–4	0–2	0.3–1.2
2nd	4–12	2–4	0–1	0.4–1.0
3rd	8–9	3–3	1–2	0.7–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LV	3	4:05 of the 3rd	15:55	15:55	+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Aleksei Kolosov

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 30
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.05
GSAx: +0.05

Jacob Fowler

Shots faced: 17
Saves: 17
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.36
GSAx: +1.36

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:11Penalty
1st 9:45Penalty
1st 16:36Adam Engström (0–1)medium · wrist · 28 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
2nd 13:55Penalty
2nd 16:25Penalty
2nd 18:45Owen Beck (0–2)5v4 · low · wrist · 11 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
3rd 4:05Jared Davidson (0–3)high · 18 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
3rd 11:05Penalty
3rd 13:39Penalty
3rd 15:53Penalty