AHLDashboard
Wednesday, October 29

Chicago Wolves at Milwaukee Admirals

UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · Milwaukee, WI

Chicago Wolves
1:4
Final
Milwaukee Admirals

The sheet

CHIMILSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
36%64%
xG
2.12.5
High danger
34
Chances
57
Shots
2627

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MIL above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% MIL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal27
5Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances4
2.07Expected goals2.53

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4803010.20.8
2nd151232211.30.8
3rd7722120.60.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI30:00 of the 3rd20:008:57+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.53
GSAx
-1.47
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.07
GSAx
+1.07

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:51Penalty
  • 1st 11:22Ryan Ufko (0–1)low · 20 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 6:09Zach L’Heureux (0–2)low · 45 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 6:14Penalty
  • 2nd 17:28Penalty
  • 2nd 17:34Joakim Kemell (0–3)5v4 · high · 21 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 1:06Gavin Bayreuther (1–3)high · 22 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 5:50Penalty
  • 3rd 6:59Penalty
  • 3rd 10:19Penalty
  • 3rd 12:12Oasiz Wiesblatt (1–4)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov