AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, October 29

San Jose Barracuda at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

San Jose Barracuda
0:3
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

SJSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.53.5
High danger
37
Chances
814
Shots
2735

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal35
8Scoring chances14
3High-danger chances7
2.50Expected goals3.50

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–171–80–40.5–1.9
2nd12–114–52–31.3–1.2
3rd6–73–11–00.7–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
3.50
GSAx
+0.50
Ville Husso
Shots faced
27
Saves
27
Allowed
0
xGA
2.50
GSAx
+2.50

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:46Penalty
  • 1st 4:14Penalty
  • 1st 5:43Yegor Sidorov (0–1)5v4 · medium · 9 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 1st 10:23Penalty
  • 2nd 0:48Penalty
  • 2nd 14:59Tim Washe (0–2)high · 16 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 16:28Penalty
  • 3rd 1:01Penalty
  • 3rd 6:23Penalty
  • 3rd 7:50Penalty
  • 3rd 17:04Tim Washe (0–3)empty net · low · 76 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 17:38Penalty
  • 3rd 18:15Penalty