AHLDashboard
Thursday, October 30

San Diego Gulls at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

San Diego Gulls
3:4
Final / OT
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

SDCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
84%16%
xG
4.11.6
High danger
51
Chances
147
Shots
4522

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

45Shots on goal22
14Scoring chances7
5High-danger chances1
4.12Expected goals1.58

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14843211.30.6
2nd11652201.10.4
3rd19651101.60.4
OT1201000.10.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
45
Saves
42
Allowed
3
xGA
4.12
GSAx
+1.12
Shots faced
22
Saves
18
Allowed
4
xGA
1.58
GSAx
-2.42

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:12John Hayden (0–1)high · 14 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 1st 4:23Logan Morrison (0–2)medium · 10 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 1st 11:18Matthew Phillips (1–2)medium · 29 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 1st 19:11Penalty
  • 2nd 6:17Penalty
  • 2nd 16:20Penalty
  • 3rd 6:53Justin Bailey (2–2)medium · 12 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 3rd 9:17Yegor Sidorov (3–2)low · 29 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 3rd 14:53J.R. Avon (3–3)low · 42 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • OT 4:04Tyson Jugnauth (3–4)medium · 9 ft · beat Calle Clang