AHLDashboard
Friday, October 31

Rochester Americans at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Rochester Americans
2:1
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

ROCLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
48%52%
xG
3.43.5
High danger
57
Chances
1114
Shots
3634

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 62% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal34
11Scoring chances14
5High-danger chances7
3.42Expected goals3.53

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10821010.60.5
2nd71145231.01.3
3rd191558331.81.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
36
Saves
34
Allowed
2
xGA
3.42
GSAx
+1.42
Shots faced
34
Saves
33
Allowed
1
xGA
3.53
GSAx
+2.53

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:43Penalty
  • 1st 14:20Penalty
  • 2nd 3:48Penalty
  • 2nd 11:10Penalty
  • 2nd 14:29Penalty
  • 3rd 0:33Penalty
  • 3rd 2:45Jared Davidson (0–1)grade A · wrist · rebound · 12 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 8:24Penalty
  • 3rd 8:56Penalty
  • 3rd 9:38Ryan Johnson (1–1)low · 62 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 16:28Trevor Kuntar (2–1)low · 40 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 17:34Penalty