AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, October 31

Hershey Bears at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Hershey Bears
3:2
Final / OT
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

HERSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
56%44%
xG
3.02.7
High danger
44
Chances
1010
Shots
3828

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal28
10Scoring chances10
4High-danger chances4
3.00Expected goals2.71

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–132–41–10.6–1.0
2nd14–77–23–01.6–0.7
3rd7–60–40–30.5–0.8
OT4–21–00–00.3–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
38
Saves
35
Allowed
3
xGA
3.00
GSAx
+0.00
Clay Stevenson
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.72
GSAx
+0.72

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:04Penalty
  • 1st 0:04Penalty
  • 1st 0:04Penalty
  • 1st 0:04Penalty
  • 1st 8:35Penalty
  • 2nd 1:57Grant Cruikshank (1–0)medium · 18 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 5:34Bogdan Trineyev (2–0)low · 24 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 8:05Hugh McGing (2–1)medium · 9 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 9:12Penalty
  • 3rd 0:54Penalty
  • 3rd 5:17Dylan Peterson (2–2)high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 3rd 12:30Penalty
  • OT 3:13Penalty
  • OT 4:32Calle Rosén (3–2)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko