AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, October 31

Ontario Reign at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Ontario Reign
6:1
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

ONTSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
3.12.9
High danger
54
Chances
128
Shots
2337

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineONT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal37
12Scoring chances8
5High-danger chances4
3.07Expected goals2.90

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–143–52–20.8–1.3
2nd12–67–12–11.8–0.5
3rd4–172–21–10.4–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Erik Portillo
Shots faced
37
Saves
36
Allowed
1
xGA
2.90
GSAx
+1.90
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
17
Saves
13
Allowed
4
xGA
2.43
GSAx
-1.57
Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
6
Saves
4
Allowed
2
xGA
0.64
GSAx
-1.36

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:48Taylor Ward (1–0)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 9:04Penalty
  • 1st 10:27Penalty
  • 1st 17:37Penalty
  • 1st 18:09Penalty
  • 1st 18:09Oliver Wahlstrom (1–1)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 2nd 4:07Penalty
  • 2nd 4:07Penalty
  • 2nd 4:07Penalty
  • 2nd 6:59Aatu Jämsen (2–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 7:29Penalty
  • 2nd 10:27Samuel Bolduc (3–1)medium · 9 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 12:40Jack Hughes (4–1)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 13:20Penalty
  • 2nd 13:20Penalty
  • 2nd 13:47Jakub Dvořák (5–1)medium · 17 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 19:31Penalty
  • 3rd 4:32Kenny Connors (6–1)medium · 30 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 9:47Penalty
  • 3rd 16:22Penalty
  • 3rd 19:59Penalty
  • 3rd 19:59Penalty