AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 1

Rochester Americans at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Rochester Americans
2:5
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

ROCLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
52%48%
xG
4.74.5
High danger
77
Chances
1713
Shots
3834

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 62% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal34
17Scoring chances13
7High-danger chances7
4.74Expected goals4.49

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–105–43–31.6–1.6
2nd14–95–41–11.5–1.3
3rd11–157–53–31.7–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC310:20 of the 3rd9:409:40+0.014 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jacob Fowler
Shots faced
38
Saves
36
Allowed
2
xGA
4.74
GSAx
+2.74
Alexandar Georgiev
Shots faced
34
Saves
29
Allowed
5
xGA
4.49
GSAx
-0.51

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:59Laurent Dauphin (0–1)high · snap · 11 ft · beat Alexandar Georgiev
  • 1st 5:14Penalty
  • 1st 9:29Penalty
  • 1st 13:16Viktor Neuchev (1–1)low · slap · 35 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 1st 14:00Penalty
  • 1st 18:54Penalty
  • 2nd 3:23Penalty
  • 2nd 4:01Laurent Dauphin (1–2)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 12 ft · beat Alexandar Georgiev
  • 2nd 7:04Penalty
  • 2nd 10:20Penalty
  • 2nd 13:01Penalty
  • 2nd 16:29Penalty
  • 2nd 17:35Laurent Dauphin (1–3)5v4 · medium · wrist · 38 ft · beat Alexandar Georgiev
  • 2nd 19:27Penalty
  • 2nd 19:27Penalty
  • 3rd 3:21Penalty
  • 3rd 8:34Penalty
  • 3rd 10:20Penalty
  • 3rd 10:20Jared Davidson (1–4)5v4 · medium · slap · 32 ft · beat Alexandar Georgiev
  • 3rd 12:49Penalty
  • 3rd 16:51Penalty
  • 3rd 18:15Noah Östlund (2–4)5v4 · medium · slap · 36 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 3rd 19:30Laurent Dauphin (2–5)empty net · high · wrist · 4 ft · beat Alexandar Georgiev