AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 1

Bakersfield Condors at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Bakersfield Condors
3:4
Final / OT
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

BAKCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
69%31%
xG
3.92.6
High danger
65
Chances
149
Shots
3828

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 42% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal28
14Scoring chances9
6High-danger chances5
3.94Expected goals2.63

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–83–42–20.7–0.8
2nd17–67–12–11.7–0.5
3rd12–134–42–21.3–1.2
OT2–10–00–00.2–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Ivan Prosvetov
Shots faced
38
Saves
35
Allowed
3
xGA
3.94
GSAx
+0.94
Matt Tomkins
Shots faced
28
Saves
24
Allowed
4
xGA
2.63
GSAx
-1.37

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 18:12Martin Frk (0–1)high · tip · 11 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 1st 18:27Rory Kerins (0–2)medium · wrist · 26 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 1st 18:44Penalty
  • 2nd 10:17Penalty
  • 2nd 10:17Penalty
  • 2nd 11:45Cam Dineen (1–2)low · wrist · 39 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 18:44Penalty
  • 2nd 19:57Rem Pitlick (2–2)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 170 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 3rd 7:03Carter King (2–3)medium · snap · 14 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 8:22Penalty
  • 3rd 12:04Penalty
  • 3rd 12:04Penalty
  • 3rd 16:54Connor Clattenburg (3–3)grade A · wrist · 15 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • OT 2:47Sam Morton (3–4)low · wrist · 14 ft · beat Matt Tomkins