AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 1

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
1:3
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

WBSUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
2.41.6
High danger
31
Chances
117
Shots
2620

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal20
11Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances1
2.38Expected goals1.64

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–84–51–10.6–0.9
2nd15–66–22–01.4–0.5
3rd6–61–00–00.4–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nico Daws
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.38
GSAx
+1.38
Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.64
GSAx
-1.36

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:48Penalty
  • 1st 11:31Penalty
  • 1st 11:31Penalty
  • 1st 11:31Penalty
  • 1st 11:31Penalty
  • 1st 14:59Angus Crookshank (0–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 2:21Penalty
  • 2nd 3:26Mike Hardman (0–2)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 4:57Penalty
  • 2nd 18:39Aidan McDonough (1–2)medium · 9 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 19:48Penalty
  • 3rd 18:50Penalty
  • 3rd 19:39Jonathan Gruden (1–3)empty net · low · 82 ft · beat Sergei Murashov