AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 1

Belleville Senators at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Belleville Senators
7:4
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

BELSYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
19%81%
xG
2.64.9
High danger
411
Chances
618
Shots
3042

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 64% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal42
6Scoring chances18
4High-danger chances11
2.55Expected goals4.95

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–161–71–30.7–1.8
2nd10–165–113–81.4–2.7
3rd11–100–00–00.5–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Leevi Meriläinen
Shots faced
42
Saves
38
Allowed
4
xGA
4.94
GSAx
+0.94
Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
30
Saves
23
Allowed
7
xGA
2.55
GSAx
-4.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:28Cooper Flinton (0–1)medium · rebound · 37 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 1st 8:09Penalty
  • 1st 8:44Arthur Kaliyev (1–1)5v4 · low · 36 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 1st 12:29Wyatt Bongiovanni (2–1)low · 31 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 1st 19:26Penalty
  • 1st 19:26Penalty
  • 2nd 1:18Jakob Pelletier (2–2)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 2:11Wyatt Bongiovanni (3–2)low · 47 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 3:57Penalty
  • 2nd 4:51Xavier Bourgault (4–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 11 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 6:05Nick Abruzzese (4–3)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 2nd 13:05Penalty
  • 2nd 17:30Penalty
  • 3rd 2:36Boris Katchouk (4–4)low · 42 ft · beat Leevi Meriläinen
  • 3rd 5:07Lassi Thomson (5–4)low · 28 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 18:46Jorian Donovan (6–4)empty net · low · 89 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 19:26Hayden Hodgson (7–4)empty net · low · 121 ft · beat Brandon Halverson