Hershey Bears
Providence BruinsThe sheet
- xG
- 2.32.4
- High danger
- 32
- Chances
- 810
- Shots
- 2925
Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.
Expected goals, minute by minute
Win probability, as it happened
The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.
Head to head
By period
| Per | SOG | SC | HD | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 8–5 | 0–1 | 0–0 | 0.4–0.3 |
| 2nd | 13–10 | 7–7 | 3–2 | 1.5–1.2 |
| 3rd | 8–10 | 1–2 | 0–0 | 0.4–0.8 |
Away–home, in that order.
Pulling the goalie
| Trailing | First behind by | Net empty from | Time left | Empty-net time | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRO | 1 | 16:56 of the 3rd | 3:04 | 3:04 | +0.052 pts |
“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.
In goal
- Shots faced
- 28
- Saves
- 27
- Allowed
- 1
- xGA
- 2.30
- GSAx
- +1.30
- Shots faced
- 25
- Saves
- 25
- Allowed
- 0
- xGA
- 2.36
- GSAx
- +2.36
Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.
Scoring and penalties
- 1st 6:10Penalty
- 1st 10:03Penalty
- 1st 12:05Ryan Chesley
- 1st 13:03Penalty
- 1st 17:13Penalty
- 1st 17:13Penalty
- 2nd 12:50Penalty
- 3rd 5:22Penalty
- 3rd 7:51Penalty
- 3rd 10:39Penalty
- 3rd 16:25Penalty
- 3rd 19:11Matt Strome