Henderson Silver Knights at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Henderson Silver Knights

6:1

Final

Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

HSKABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

79%21%

xG: 3.52.0
High danger: 51
Chances: 157
Shots: 3326

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

ABB above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 43% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal26

15Scoring chances7

5High-danger chances1

3.53Expected goals2.03

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–6	7–4	3–1	1.5–0.7
2nd	13–13	5–2	0–0	1.2–0.8
3rd	9–7	3–1	2–0	0.8–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
ABB	5	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jiří Patera

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 27
Allowed: 6
xGA: 3.53
GSAx: -2.47

Cameron Whitehead

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 25
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.03
GSAx: +1.03

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:53Penalty
1st 9:23Penalty
1st 13:34Penalty
1st 15:33Tanner Laczynski (1–0)5v4 · medium · 47 ft · beat Jiří Patera
1st 16:14Braeden Bowman (2–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Jiří Patera
1st 17:45Penalty
1st 19:48Penalty
1st 19:54Jonas Røndbjerg (3–0)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Jiří Patera
2nd 7:10Tuomas Uronen (4–0)low · 33 ft · beat Jiří Patera
2nd 11:38Penalty
2nd 13:04Kai Uchacz (5–0)5v4 · medium · 37 ft · beat Jiří Patera
3rd 5:30Penalty
3rd 5:53Ty Mueller (5–1)5v4 · low · 54 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
3rd 8:53Tuomas Uronen (6–1)low · 27 ft · beat Jiří Patera
3rd 17:01Penalty