Texas Stars at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Texas Stars

2:1

Final / OT

Manitoba Moose

The sheet

TEXMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

90%10%

xG: 2.41.4
High danger: 30
Chances: 41
Shots: 2530

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

MB above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal30

4Scoring chances1

3High-danger chances0

2.45Expected goals1.39

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–11	0–1	0–0	0.2–0.6
2nd	7–6	0–0	0–0	0.2–0.3
3rd	10–13	2–0	1–0	0.7–0.5
OT	2–0	2–0	2–0	1.3–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Rémi Poirier

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 29
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.39
GSAx: +0.39

Thomas Milic

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 23
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.45
GSAx: +0.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 8:24Penalty
1st 17:20Penalty
2nd 4:36Samu Tuomaala (1–0)low · 33 ft · beat Thomas Milic
2nd 10:18Penalty
3rd 4:56Kale Clague (1–1)low · 45 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
3rd 7:47Penalty
3rd 13:35Penalty
OT 0:30Artem Shlaine (2–1)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Thomas Milic