AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, November 2

Henderson Silver Knights at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Henderson Silver Knights
7:3
Final
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

HSKABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
86%14%
xG
4.72.3
High danger
112
Chances
236
Shots
4022

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 43% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal22
23Scoring chances6
11High-danger chances2
4.66Expected goals2.31

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–74–20–00.9–0.6
2nd16–79–13–11.7–0.7
3rd14–810–38–12.0–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB38:10 of the 3rd11:5011:50+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ty Young
Shots faced
40
Saves
33
Allowed
7
xGA
4.66
GSAx
-2.34
Jesper Vikman
Shots faced
22
Saves
19
Allowed
3
xGA
2.31
GSAx
-0.69

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:32Ben Hemmerling (1–0)medium · 17 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 1st 16:56Penalty
  • 1st 18:53Joseph LaBate (1–1)5v4 · low · 46 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 5:39Penalty
  • 2nd 7:14Joseph LaBate (1–2)5v4 · low · 45 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 9:39Penalty
  • 2nd 10:41Raphael Lavoie (2–2)5v4 · low · 48 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 2nd 14:04Penalty
  • 2nd 17:23Jackson Hallum (3–2)high · 9 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 2nd 18:30Penalty
  • 3rd 2:55Mitch McLain (4–2)medium · 9 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 3rd 8:10Jeremy Davies (5–2)low · 14 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 3rd 9:37Penalty
  • 3rd 12:34Tuomas Uronen (6–2)medium · 25 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 3rd 15:19Penalty
  • 3rd 15:19Penalty
  • 3rd 15:50Penalty
  • 3rd 17:00Lukas Cormier (7–2)5v4 · high · 23 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 3rd 18:54Ben Berard (7–3)grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Jesper Vikman