Texas Stars at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Texas Stars

3:0

Final

Manitoba Moose

The sheet

TEXMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

76%24%

xG: 2.52.0
High danger: 61
Chances: 129
Shots: 2525

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

MB above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal25

12Scoring chances9

6High-danger chances1

2.50Expected goals1.97

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	8–5	3–1	2–0	0.6–0.2
2nd	8–6	3–4	2–1	0.7–0.7
3rd	9–14	6–4	2–0	1.2–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
MB	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Domenic DiVincentiis

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 22
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.50
GSAx: -0.50

Rémi Poirier

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 25
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.97
GSAx: +1.97

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

2nd 9:56Penalty
2nd 14:08Penalty
2nd 14:08Penalty
2nd 17:19Ayrton Martino (1–0)high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
3rd 2:16Penalty
3rd 6:48Penalty
3rd 9:16Penalty
3rd 9:59Cameron Hughes (2–0)5v4 · low · 43 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
3rd 17:17Artem Shlaine (3–0)empty net · low · 116 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis