AHLDashboard
Tuesday, November 4

San Jose Barracuda at Ontario Reign

Toyota Arena · Ontario, CA

San Jose Barracuda
1:2
Final / OT
Ontario Reign

The sheet

SJONTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
47%53%
xG
2.72.2
High danger
45
Chances
79
Shots
2720

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ONT above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% ONT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal20
7Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances5
2.66Expected goals2.21

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8321000.50.3
2nd10945341.31.1
3rd8603010.40.7
OT1210100.50.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
26
Allowed
1
xGA
2.66
GSAx
+1.66
Shots faced
20
Saves
18
Allowed
2
xGA
2.21
GSAx
+0.21

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 2nd 0:59Penalty
  • 2nd 5:53Akil Thomas (0–1)medium · 26 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 16:20Penalty
  • 3rd 8:02Penalty
  • 3rd 8:24Igor Chernyshov (1–1)5v4 · low · 58 ft · beat Erik Portillo
  • 3rd 13:23Penalty
  • OT 1:03Taylor Ward (1–2)low · 29 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere