AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, November 5

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
6:2
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

LVBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
22%78%
xG
2.85.0
High danger
59
Chances
1424
Shots
2437

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal37
14Scoring chances24
5High-danger chances9
2.82Expected goals5.04

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–146–83–41.1–1.8
2nd6–113–60–30.6–1.6
3rd9–125–102–21.1–1.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI312:04 of the 3rd7:567:56+0.011 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carson Bjarnason
Shots faced
37
Saves
35
Allowed
2
xGA
5.04
GSAx
+3.04
Marcus Högberg
Shots faced
24
Saves
18
Allowed
6
xGA
2.82
GSAx
-3.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:43Alex Bump (1–0)high · 14 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 1st 6:50Penalty
  • 1st 10:03Penalty
  • 1st 11:07Penalty
  • 1st 18:57Penalty
  • 2nd 5:46Chris Terry (1–1)grade A · 30 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 7:04Penalty
  • 2nd 11:49Penalty
  • 2nd 15:50Cooper Marody (2–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 16:13Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 3:39Penalty
  • 3rd 5:50Penalty
  • 3rd 7:01Matthew Highmore (2–2)5v4 · medium · 13 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 3rd 7:45Penalty
  • 3rd 8:29Anthony Richard (3–2)5v4 · medium · 15 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 9:46Penalty
  • 3rd 10:43Penalty
  • 3rd 11:52Denver Barkey (4–2)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 12:04Lane Pederson (5–2)low · 25 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 14:42Penalty
  • 3rd 16:13Lane Pederson (6–2)empty net · medium · 26 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 19:29Penalty
  • 3rd 19:29Penalty
  • 3rd 19:29Penalty
  • 3rd 19:29Penalty
  • 3rd 19:29Penalty
  • 3rd 19:29Penalty
  • 3rd 19:29Penalty