AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, November 5

Syracuse Crunch at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Syracuse Crunch
5:3
Final
Rochester Americans

The sheet

SYRROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
51%49%
xG
3.53.5
High danger
64
Chances
1212
Shots
2936

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal36
12Scoring chances12
6High-danger chances4
3.54Expected goals3.49

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–203–82–21.5–2.1
2nd13–58–04–01.7–0.2
3rd5–111–40–20.3–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC30:00 of the 3rd20:009:08+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ryan Fanti
Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
3.49
GSAx
+0.49
Devon Levi
Shots faced
29
Saves
24
Allowed
5
xGA
3.54
GSAx
-1.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:38Wojciech Stachowiak (1–0)grade A · rebound · 21 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 6:06Jake Leschyshyn (1–1)low · 42 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 1st 13:35Penalty
  • 1st 14:18Wojciech Stachowiak (2–1)5v4 · low · 37 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 15:01Penalty
  • 1st 18:57Penalty
  • 2nd 3:48Penalty
  • 2nd 5:59Dylan Duke (3–1)low · rebound · 42 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 10:18Penalty
  • 2nd 12:06Scott Sabourin (4–1)5v4 · high · 5 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 17:59Penalty
  • 2nd 17:59Penalty
  • 2nd 18:32Penalty
  • 3rd 2:43Penalty
  • 3rd 4:32Jake Leschyshyn (4–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 3rd 6:27Zach Metsa (4–3)low · 35 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 3rd 15:24Dylan Duke (5–3)low · 45 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 16:58Penalty
  • 3rd 19:27Penalty