AHLDashboard
Wednesday, November 5

Colorado Eagles at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Colorado Eagles
5:6
Final / SO
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

COLCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
29%71%
xG
2.33.3
High danger
35
Chances
1011
Shots
2436

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal36
10Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances5
2.32Expected goals3.32

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st71245230.81.4
2nd81235120.81.3
3rd81031000.70.5
OT1200000.10.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
2.96
GSAx
+0.96
Shots faced
24
Saves
19
Allowed
5
xGA
2.32
GSAx
-2.68
Shots faced
6
Saves
3
Allowed
3
xGA
0.37
GSAx
-2.63

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:38Penalty
  • 1st 6:40Kaden Hammell (0–1)low · 65 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 7:46Ian McKinnon (0–2)low · 31 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 8:28John Hayden (0–3)medium · 32 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 11:33Mark Senden (1–3)high · 17 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 17:33Jake Wise (2–3)medium · 16 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 18:11Penalty
  • 2nd 1:11Penalty
  • 2nd 1:31Jayson Megna (3–3)4v5 · low · 16 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 2:24Carson Rehkopf (3–4)5v4 · medium · 22 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 2nd 3:42Logan Morrison (3–5)medium · 19 ft · beat Isak Posch
  • 2nd 5:35Penalty
  • 2nd 5:35Penalty
  • 2nd 7:44Danil Gushchin (4–5)low · 37 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 13:32Penalty
  • 2nd 13:32Penalty
  • 2nd 15:42Penalty
  • 3rd 1:54Bryan Yoon (5–5)medium · 17 ft · beat Nikke Kokko