AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, November 5

San Diego Gulls at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

San Diego Gulls
6:3
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

SDHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
78%22%
xG
3.32.3
High danger
102
Chances
1314
Shots
2521

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal21
13Scoring chances14
10High-danger chances2
3.28Expected goals2.31

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–96–53–01.4–0.9
2nd9–54–54–11.1–0.7
3rd5–73–43–10.8–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cameron Whitehead
Shots faced
25
Saves
19
Allowed
6
xGA
3.28
GSAx
-2.72
Ville Husso
Shots faced
21
Saves
18
Allowed
3
xGA
2.31
GSAx
-0.69

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:30Penalty
  • 1st 6:44Penalty
  • 1st 10:09Nikolas Brouillard (1–0)low · slap · 58 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 1st 14:06Tristan Luneau (2–0)grade A · wrist · 17 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 1st 15:12Sasha Pastujov (3–0)high · wrist · 18 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 1st 15:45Penalty
  • 1st 17:17Jeremy Davies (3–1)5v4 · low · slap · 59 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 1st 18:51Raphael Lavoie (3–2)low · wrist · 34 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 2nd 3:35Penalty
  • 2nd 3:35Penalty
  • 2nd 11:28Justin Bailey (4–2)high · slap · 9 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 3rd 4:55Penalty
  • 3rd 4:55Penalty
  • 3rd 10:57Penalty
  • 3rd 15:02Yegor Sidorov (5–2)grade A · backhand · 13 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 3rd 16:22Lukas Cormier (5–3)medium · wrist · 21 ft · beat Ville Husso
  • 3rd 18:25Penalty
  • 3rd 18:25Penalty
  • 3rd 18:59Nico Myatovic (6–3)5v4 · high · wrist · 21 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty
  • 3rd 19:38Penalty