AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, November 6

Chicago Wolves at Iowa Wild

Casey’s Center · Des Moines, IA

Chicago Wolves
2:3
Final
Iowa Wild

The sheet

CHIIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
2.81.9
High danger
32
Chances
66
Shots
3423

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal23
6Scoring chances6
3High-danger chances2
2.75Expected goals1.89

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–111–40–20.6–1.1
2nd14–85–13–01.6–0.6
3rd9–40–10–00.6–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI119:41 of the 3rd0:190:19+0.006 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cal Petersen
Shots faced
34
Saves
32
Allowed
2
xGA
2.75
GSAx
+0.75
Amir Miftakhov
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
1.89
GSAx
-1.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:25Penalty
  • 1st 4:25Penalty
  • 1st 9:03Penalty
  • 1st 15:20Penalty
  • 1st 17:04Jean-Luc Foudy (0–1)5v4 · medium · 19 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 0:27Gerry Mayhew (0–2)low · 13 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 2:06Givani Smith (1–2)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 3:20Penalty
  • 2nd 5:55Penalty
  • 2nd 12:58Penalty
  • 2nd 16:15Justin Robidas (2–2)medium · 22 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 17:14Penalty
  • 2nd 17:14Penalty
  • 2nd 19:24Penalty
  • 3rd 1:47Penalty
  • 3rd 7:16Penalty
  • 3rd 12:16Penalty
  • 3rd 19:41Nicolas Aubé-Kubel (2–3)medium · 15 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov