Syracuse Crunch at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Syracuse Crunch

1:4

Final

Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

SYRCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

44%56%

xG: 1.91.9
High danger: 23
Chances: 98
Shots: 1822

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CLT above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 60% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal22

9Scoring chances8

2High-danger chances3

1.88Expected goals1.89

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	6–4	2–0	1–0	0.6–0.2
2nd	3–10	1–4	0–1	0.3–0.8
3rd	9–8	6–4	1–2	1.0–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SYR	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ryan Fanti

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 18
Allowed: 4
xGA: 1.89
GSAx: -2.11

Cooper Black

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 17
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.88
GSAx: +0.88

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 6:08Penalty
1st 10:25Penalty
1st 10:43Mitchell Chaffee (1–0)5v4 · high · 22 ft · beat Cooper Black
2nd 13:24Penalty
2nd 19:01Penalty
3rd 0:19Brian Pinho (1–1)5v4 · low · 41 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
3rd 2:40Jack Devine (1–2)medium · 19 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
3rd 10:40Penalty
3rd 12:18Penalty
3rd 12:18Penalty
3rd 19:12Jack Devine (1–3)empty net · medium · 10 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
3rd 19:42Riese Gaber (1–4)empty net · low · 83 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty