AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 7

Belleville Senators at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Belleville Senators
0:3
Final
Utica Comets

The sheet

BELUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
18%82%
xG
2.04.8
High danger
311
Chances
919
Shots
1938

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 63% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal38
9Scoring chances19
3High-danger chances11
2.03Expected goals4.78

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–154–71–50.6–2.1
2nd8–94–52–31.0–1.1
3rd6–141–70–30.4–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
38
Saves
35
Allowed
3
xGA
4.77
GSAx
+1.77
Nico Daws
Shots faced
19
Saves
19
Allowed
0
xGA
2.03
GSAx
+2.03

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:09Penalty
  • 1st 11:48Penalty
  • 1st 14:08Penalty
  • 1st 15:10Matyas Melovsky (0–1)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 17:42Penalty
  • 2nd 3:40Calen Addison (0–2)low · 48 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 9:01Penalty
  • 2nd 13:27Angus Crookshank (0–3)medium · 15 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 18:05Penalty
  • 2nd 18:05Penalty
  • 2nd 19:01Penalty
  • 3rd 7:11Penalty