AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 7

Hartford Wolf Pack at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Hartford Wolf Pack
2:4
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

HFDLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
31%69%
xG
2.63.0
High danger
36
Chances
712
Shots
2729

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal29
7Scoring chances12
3High-danger chances6
2.61Expected goals2.97

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–23–12–11.4–0.2
2nd7–102–60–10.4–1.0
3rd8–172–51–40.7–1.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
2.97
GSAx
-1.03
Jacob Fowler
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.61
GSAx
+0.61

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:54Penalty
  • 1st 15:49Penalty
  • 1st 17:41Brendan Brisson (1–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 9:03Penalty
  • 2nd 10:42Jared Davidson (1–1)5v4 · medium · 30 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 11:47Penalty
  • 2nd 14:23Penalty
  • 2nd 14:28Scott Morrow (2–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 43 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 15:24Penalty
  • 3rd 0:47Joshua Roy (2–2)low · wrist · 37 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 8:00Penalty
  • 3rd 8:00Penalty
  • 3rd 8:00Penalty
  • 3rd 12:49Penalty
  • 3rd 12:49Penalty
  • 3rd 13:34Penalty
  • 3rd 13:34Penalty
  • 3rd 13:34Penalty
  • 3rd 14:04Alex Belzile (2–3)5v4 · high · 11 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 19:33Tobie Bisson (2–4)empty net · low · 171 ft · beat Dylan Garand