AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 7

Bridgeport Islanders at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Bridgeport Islanders
6:2
Final
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

BRISPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
67%33%
xG
4.53.0
High danger
85
Chances
1514
Shots
3127

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal27
15Scoring chances14
8High-danger chances5
4.50Expected goals2.98

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–65–41–31.3–1.0
2nd9–94–63–21.1–1.1
3rd11–126–44–02.0–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SPR−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SPR37:27 of the 3rd12:3312:33+0.018 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
31
Saves
25
Allowed
6
xGA
4.50
GSAx
-1.50
Parker Gahagen
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.98
GSAx
+0.98

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:39Marc Gatcomb (1–0)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 8:00Penalty
  • 1st 15:06Penalty
  • 1st 18:16Joey Larson (2–0)low · 35 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 19:42Penalty
  • 2nd 6:31Penalty
  • 2nd 8:34Dylan Peterson (2–1)medium · 16 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 10:28Penalty
  • 2nd 16:13Daylan Kuefler (3–1)medium · 25 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 5:00Aleksanteri Kaskimäki (3–2)low · 39 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 5:37Penalty
  • 3rd 5:46Joey Larson (4–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 7:27Hunter Drew (5–2)high · 21 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 7:51Penalty
  • 3rd 16:56Penalty
  • 3rd 17:53Adam Beckman (6–2)5v4 · medium · 22 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 19:23Penalty