Abbotsford Canucks at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Abbotsford Canucks

1:4

Final

Colorado Eagles

The sheet

ABBCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

14%86%

xG: 1.22.9
High danger: 23
Chances: 515
Shots: 1127

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

COL above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 68% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

11Shots on goal27

5Scoring chances15

2High-danger chances3

1.22Expected goals2.86

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	3–11	0–5	0–1	0.2–1.0
2nd	3–9	2–5	0–1	0.3–1.0
3rd	5–7	3–5	2–1	0.7–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
ABB	3	6:59 of the 3rd	13:01	12:48	+0.018 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ty Young

Shots faced: 20
Saves: 18
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.91
GSAx: -0.09

Trent Miner

Shots faced: 11
Saves: 10
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.22
GSAx: +0.22

C.J. Kier

Shots faced: 7
Saves: 5
Allowed: 2
xGA: 0.95
GSAx: -1.05

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 18:16Penalty
1st 18:26Penalty
1st 20:00Penalty
2nd 10:27Penalty
2nd 11:42Danil Gushchin (0–1)5v4 · medium · 28 ft · beat Ty Young
2nd 11:51Penalty
2nd 16:22Tye Felhaber (0–2)low · 29 ft · beat Ty Young
2nd 17:22Penalty
2nd 17:22Penalty
2nd 19:50Penalty
3rd 6:59Tristen Nielsen (0–3)grade A · 9 ft · beat C.J. Kier
3rd 11:56Vilmer Alriksson (1–3)high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Trent Miner
3rd 18:27Alex Gagne (1–4)low · 133 ft · beat C.J. Kier