AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 8

Springfield Thunderbirds at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Springfield Thunderbirds
1:6
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

SPRBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
30%70%
xG
2.94.4
High danger
59
Chances
1420
Shots
2533

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal33
14Scoring chances20
5High-danger chances9
2.94Expected goals4.38

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–147–72–11.2–1.5
2nd10–75–52–31.2–1.1
3rd6–122–81–50.5–1.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SPR−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SPR212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Will Cranley
Shots faced
33
Saves
27
Allowed
6
xGA
4.38
GSAx
-1.62
Marcus Högberg
Shots faced
25
Saves
24
Allowed
1
xGA
2.94
GSAx
+1.94

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:32Penalty
  • 1st 13:15Penalty
  • 1st 17:10Penalty
  • 1st 17:47Penalty
  • 2nd 1:26Alex Jefferies (0–1)medium · 22 ft · beat Will Cranley
  • 2nd 3:03Penalty
  • 2nd 3:36Eetu Liukas (0–2)4v5 · high · 16 ft · beat Will Cranley
  • 2nd 9:02Adam Beckman (0–3)high · 10 ft · beat Will Cranley
  • 2nd 13:55Penalty
  • 2nd 13:55Penalty
  • 2nd 13:55Penalty
  • 2nd 15:32Juraj Pekarcik (1–3)5v4 · medium · 20 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 4:01Penalty
  • 3rd 9:46Penalty
  • 3rd 13:39Joey Larson (1–4)high · 28 ft · beat Will Cranley
  • 3rd 15:12Chris Terry (1–5)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Will Cranley
  • 3rd 15:35Marc Gatcomb (1–6)medium · 29 ft · beat Will Cranley